I'm getting more confident although I still feel I'm making some -EV$ plays.
Tonight I'm very tired but tomorrow I will dedicate some time to Hold'em Manager and try to find out what I could do different.
On the other hand, I feel I'm starting to loosen up on some factors like not paying real attention whether if a lot of money is at stake if I feel I'm ahead. I've been raising more, limping less although I still don't know how to react to a raise on a hand that I would raise if folded/limped to me.
My VPIP$ is still very high but that is mainly because I'm limping the following:
- Low pocket pairs(22-99) for set mining.
- Suited connectors (23-9T) for straight mining. I will do this specially if a bully is at my table.
- A2-A9s. I limp about 30% of them.
- A2-A9o.I limp about 10% of them.
- Gaped Connectors. I rather not talk about this insanity moments
- Suited heavey gapped cards...they are so beautiful...ok I really must start to play on a two colour deck.
Here is the analysis for my limped pocket pairs:
Type | % | Pre Flop Status | Cards | # | $ | %# | %$ |
Pocket Pairs | 21.25% | Unopened | |||||
22 | 1 | $0.03 | 5.88% | 0.98% | |||
33 | 1 | $0.10 | 5.88% | 3.27% | |||
33 | 1 | -$0.08 | 5.88% | -2.62% | |||
44 | 1 | -$0.02 | 5.88% | -0.65% | |||
55 | 1 | $0.13 | 5.88% | 4.25% | |||
66 | 1 | $2.86 | 5.88% | 93.53% | |||
77 | 1 | $0.61 | 5.88% | 19.95% | |||
99 | 1 | -$0.20 | 5.88% | -6.54% | |||
TOTAL | 8 | $3.43 | 47.06% | 112.16% | |||
1 Limper | |||||||
44 | 1 | -$0.01 | 5.88% | -0.39% | |||
88 | 1 | -$0.06 | 5.88% | -1.96% | |||
99 | 1 | -$0.26 | 5.88% | -8.50% | |||
99 | 1 | -$0.02 | 5.88% | -0.65% | |||
TOTAL | 4 | -$0.35 | 23.53% | -11.51% | |||
2+ Limper's | |||||||
33 | 1 | -$0.08 | 5.88% | -2.62% | |||
TT | 1 | -$0.06 | 5.88% | -1.96% | |||
TOTAL | 2 | -$0.14 | 11.76% | -4.58% | |||
1 Raiser | |||||||
22 | 1 | -$0.06 | 5.88% | -1.96% | |||
TT | 1 | -$0.10 | 5.88% | -3.27% | |||
TOTAL | 2 | -$0.16 | 11.76% | -5.23% | |||
2+ Raisers | |||||||
22 | 1 | $0.28 | 5.88% | 9.16% | |||
TOTAL | 1 | $0.28 | 5.88% | 9.16% | |||
17 | £3.06 |
It's a short sample but it's the way I play them and I realy would like to change somethings like, raise more, limp less but I feel that whem I'm mining I should save money although I know that if I build the pot not only if I hit the set, the earnings will be bigger but it will put me in a better position to cbet and make better hands fold like I almost always do when I play a HU pot.
In this sample I only mined a set 2 times out of 17 that gives me 1:8 odds on mining witch are better then the 1:10 average I would have on a bigger sample. On the ones I mined, I got some $ out of them, on the others, I cbet + double barrelled my way to the pot on the HU plays and folded on the others.
I would like to show a special hand witch HM gives me -0.96 EV $ Diff and 83.2 equity. I made this call based on the following factors:
1. He had previously overvalued TPTK
2. The PFR Action made me think that he could have 22-TT AK-AT KQ-KT QJ JT
3. The Flop bet made me put him on A6 AT TT Ax Any 2 Spades.
Given this, I decided I would be WB on TT but WA on everything else even the set mining.
What did I not took in consideration to make my call:
1- Implied Odds
2- Reverse Implied Odds
Now the question...what would you do, did I overdo-it and won on pure luck?
Here's the hand:
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 315738
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (UTG): $2.84
UTG+1: $1.97
UTG+2: $10.02
MP1: $3.74
MP2: $5.41
CO: $3.33
BTN: $2.66
SB: $1.01
BB: $2.62
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG with 6 6
Hero calls $0.02, UTG+1 raises to $0.06, UTG+2 calls $0.06, 2 folds, CO calls $0.06, 1 fold, SB calls $0.05, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.32) A 6 T (5 players)
SB bets $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.06, CO raises to $3.27, SB folds, Hero calls $2.72 all in, UTG+2 folds
Turn: ($6.00) 8 (2 players - 1 is all in)
River: ($6.00) 3 (2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $6.00
Hero shows 6 6
CO shows A T
Hero wins $5.70
(Rake: $-0.19)
Ora bem não percebo mt disto, mas deixa la tentar ver como faria, 66 em UTG e dois calls tinha foldado pronto era a minha mão :)
ResponderEliminarSe tivesse continuado em jogo acho que nao dava mt valor ao bet do SB, ficava preocupado com o raise do CO, mas acho que o punha em Ax ou Tx ou msm AT, nao sei que read tens dele, acho que deixava de lado flush draw dado que foi uma aposta bastante forte.