I'm getting more confident although I still feel I'm making some -EV$ plays.
Tonight I'm very tired but tomorrow I will dedicate some time to Hold'em Manager and try to find out what I could do different.
On the other hand, I feel I'm starting to loosen up on some factors like not paying real attention whether if a lot of money is at stake if I feel I'm ahead. I've been raising more, limping less although I still don't know how to react to a raise on a hand that I would raise if folded/limped to me.
My VPIP$ is still very high but that is mainly because I'm limping the following:
- Low pocket pairs(22-99) for set mining.
- Suited connectors (23-9T) for straight mining. I will do this specially if a bully is at my table.
- A2-A9s. I limp about 30% of them.
- A2-A9o.I limp about 10% of them.
- Gaped Connectors. I rather not talk about this insanity moments
- Suited heavey gapped cards...they are so beautiful...ok I really must start to play on a two colour deck.
Here is the analysis for my limped pocket pairs:
| Type |     % |     Pre Flop Status |     Cards |     # |     $ |     %# |     %$ |    
| Pocket Pairs   |     21.25% |     Unopened  |     |||||
| 22 |     1 |     $0.03 |     5.88% |     0.98% |    |||
| 33 |     1 |     $0.10 |     5.88% |     3.27% |    |||
| 33 |     1 |     -$0.08 |     5.88% |     -2.62% |    |||
| 44 |     1 |     -$0.02 |     5.88% |     -0.65% |    |||
| 55 |     1 |     $0.13 |     5.88% |     4.25% |    |||
| 66 |     1 |     $2.86 |     5.88% |     93.53% |    |||
| 77 |     1 |     $0.61 |     5.88% |     19.95% |    |||
| 99 |     1 |     -$0.20 |     5.88% |     -6.54% |    |||
| TOTAL |     8 |     $3.43 |     47.06% |     112.16% |    |||
| 1 Limper  |     |||||||
| 44 |     1 |     -$0.01 |     5.88% |     -0.39% |    |||
| 88 |     1 |     -$0.06 |     5.88% |     -1.96% |    |||
| 99 |     1 |     -$0.26 |     5.88% |     -8.50% |    |||
| 99 |     1 |     -$0.02 |     5.88% |     -0.65% |    |||
| TOTAL |     4 |     -$0.35 |     23.53% |     -11.51% |    |||
| 2+ Limper's |     |||||||
| 33 |     1 |     -$0.08 |     5.88% |     -2.62% |    |||
| TT |     1 |     -$0.06 |     5.88% |     -1.96% |    |||
| TOTAL |     2 |     -$0.14 |     11.76% |     -4.58% |    |||
| 1 Raiser  |     |||||||
| 22 |     1 |     -$0.06 |     5.88% |     -1.96% |    |||
| TT |     1 |     -$0.10 |     5.88% |     -3.27% |    |||
| TOTAL |     2 |     -$0.16 |     11.76% |     -5.23% |    |||
| 2+ Raisers |     |||||||
| 22 |     1 |     $0.28 |     5.88% |     9.16% |    |||
| TOTAL |     1 |     $0.28 |     5.88% |     9.16% |    |||
| 17 |     £3.06 |     
It's a short sample but it's the way I play them and I realy would like to change somethings like, raise more, limp less but I feel that whem I'm mining I should save money although I know that if I build the pot not only if I hit the set, the earnings will be bigger but it will put me in a better position to cbet and make better hands fold like I almost always do when I play a HU pot.
In this sample I only mined a set 2 times out of 17 that gives me 1:8 odds on mining witch are better then the 1:10 average I would have on a bigger sample. On the ones I mined, I got some $ out of them, on the others, I cbet + double barrelled my way to the pot on the HU plays and folded on the others.
I would like to show a special hand witch HM gives me -0.96 EV $ Diff and 83.2 equity. I made this call based on the following factors:
1. He had previously overvalued TPTK
2. The PFR Action made me think that he could have 22-TT AK-AT KQ-KT QJ JT
3. The Flop bet made me put him on A6 AT TT Ax Any 2 Spades.
Given this, I decided I would be WB on TT but WA on everything else even the set mining.
What did I not took in consideration to make my call:
1- Implied Odds
2- Reverse Implied Odds
Now the question...what would you do, did I overdo-it and won on pure luck?
Here's the hand:
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 315738
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (UTG): $2.84
UTG+1: $1.97
UTG+2: $10.02
MP1: $3.74
MP2: $5.41
CO: $3.33
BTN: $2.66
SB: $1.01
BB: $2.62
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG with 6
 6
Hero calls $0.02, UTG+1 raises to $0.06, UTG+2 calls $0.06, 2 folds, CO calls $0.06, 1 fold, SB calls $0.05, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.32) A
 6
 T
 (5 players)SB bets $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.06, CO raises to $3.27, SB folds, Hero calls $2.72 all in, UTG+2 folds
Turn: ($6.00) 8
 (2 players - 1 is all in)River: ($6.00) 3
 (2 players - 1 is all in)Final Pot: $6.00
Hero shows 6
 6
CO shows A
 T
Hero wins $5.70
(Rake: $-0.19)

Ora bem não percebo mt disto, mas deixa la tentar ver como faria, 66 em UTG e dois calls tinha foldado pronto era a minha mão :)
ResponderEliminarSe tivesse continuado em jogo acho que nao dava mt valor ao bet do SB, ficava preocupado com o raise do CO, mas acho que o punha em Ax ou Tx ou msm AT, nao sei que read tens dele, acho que deixava de lado flush draw dado que foi uma aposta bastante forte.